2025 Habilitation à Diriger des Recherches (HDR), Université de Toulouse (HDR is a French post-doctoral degree, recognizing the ability to conduct and supervise high-level scientific research.) 2019 PhD degree, Université de Toulouse Thesis supervised by Michel Déqué and Lauriane Batté, defended on July 2, 2019. Title: Impact of Soil Moisture on Summer Climate Predictability at Mid-Latitudes Awarded the 2020 Université Paul Sabatier Prize in Earth Sciences by the Académie des Sciences, Inscriptions et Belles Lettres de Toulouse Download PhD thesis (in French) 2009 MSc “Ocean, Atmosphere, Land Surface”, Université de Toulouse Engineering Degree, École Nationale de la Météorologie (INP-Toulouse) 2001 Engineering Degree, AgroParisTech (leading French Grande École in life, food, and environmental sciences and engineering)
Research Themes Seasonal and sub-seasonal forecasting using coupled ocean-atmosphere-land surface models Study of climate predictability sources from land surfaces Land surface initialization strategies for dynamic forecasting systems Predictability of extreme events at mid-latitudes Supervision Postdoctoral Researchers: 2023–2026 G. Narvaez-Campo, “Seasonal Hydrological Forecasting” (CERISE project) 2020–2023 G. Dayon, “Contribution of Vegetation to Seasonal Forecasting” (CONFESS project), co-supervised with L. Batté PhD Student: 2024–2027 O. Savary, “Predictability of Droughts in a Changing Climate”, co-supervised with J. Cattiaux Master’s/End-of-Studies Interns: 2024 O. Savary, MSc in Fluid Mechanics, École Polytechnique & ENS Paris-Saclay, co-supervised with H. Douville 2022 L. Pourchet, MSc in Statistics (Sorbonne Université, Paris) and End-of-Studies Internship, École Nationale de la Météorologie, Toulouse, co-supervised with D. Specq and L. Batté 2021 S. Lecestre, End-of-Studies Internship, Centrale Nantes, co-supervised with C. Prodhomme 2019 S. Antoine, MSc in Ocean, Atmosphere, Land Surface (Université de Toulouse) and End-of-Studies Internship, École Nationale de la Météorologie, Toulouse, co-supervised with L. Batté and N. Girardot Mobility Sept–Dec 2015 – Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC-CNS), Barcelona, Spain Sept–Oct 2019 – Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC), Bologna, Italy Feb 2026 – Franco-Argentine Institute for Climate Studies and its Impacts (IFAECI), Buenos Aires, Argentina
Scientific Committees and Professional Activities Working Group on Subseasonal to Interdecadal Prediction (WGSIP), WCRP ESMO (since 2024) Steering Committee, CNRM-CERFACS “Global Climate Modeling” (since 2022) Pedagogical Committee, SDU2E Doctoral School (since 2025) Météo-France Researcher Evaluation Committee (2021–2024) Organization and Animation of Scientific Conference Sessions AGU Fall Meeting (2023, San Francisco): “Subseasonal, Seasonal, and Longer-Timescale Predictability of Droughts/Floods and Land-Induced Forcing” (Co-organizer and session chair) EMS Annual Meeting (2024, Barcelona and 2025, Ljubljana): “Forecasting on Sub-seasonal to Seasonal to Decadal Timescales” (Co-organizer and session chair) Representative Roles PhD Student Representative, Research Commission, INP-Toulouse (2016–2019)
Under review Rojas-Munoz O. , C. Ardilouze, B. Bonan , D. Tzanos, D. Ghent, C. Lamarche, T. Nagler, J.-C. Calvet : Assessing the effect of land cover on ISBA snow water equivalent simulations over Europe. The Cryosphere, doi: 10.5194/egusphere-2026-65 Specq D., C. Ardilouze, L. Batté : Perfect model estimates of seasonal forecast skill. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society Accepted Gualdi S., E. Rodríguez-Camino, E. Rodríguez-Guisado, A. Toreti, M. Pasqui, C. Ardilouze, W. Badi, L. Batté, F. Driouech, K. Fröhlich, J. Garcia-Serrano, S. Terzago, V. Torralba : Climate Predictions and their applications in the Mediterranean region : Part II – Climate predictions–based services. International Journal of Climatology 2026 Gualdi S., J. Garcia Serrano, C. Ardilouze, S. Terzago, V. Torralba, W. Badi, L. Batté, F. Driouech, K. Fröhlich, E. Rodriguez Camino, E. Rodriguez Guisado, M. Pasqui, A. Toreti : Climate Predictions and their applications in the Mediterranean region : Part I – Source of predictability and prediction skill. International Journal of Climatology, doi: 10.1002/joc.70274 Savary, O., C. Ardilouze and J. Cattiaux: Linking European droughts to year-round weather regimes. Weather and Climate Dynamics, doi:10.5194/wcd-7-223-2026 2025 Narváez-Campo G. and C. Ardilouze : Skilful seasonal streamflow forecasting using a fully coupled global climate model. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, doi:10.5194/hess-29-4739-2025 Day J., F. Vitart, T. Stockdale, P. de Rosnay, C. Ardilouze, D. Peano, A. Sanna, K. Fröhlich : Soil-moisture-atmosphere coupling hotspots and their representation in seasonal forecasts of boreal summer. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-025-07753-1 2024 Krouma, M., D. Specq, L. Magnusson, C. Ardilouze, L. Batté and P. Yiou : Improving subseasonal forecast of precipitation in Europe by combining a stochastic weather generator with dynamical models. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, doi:10.1002/qj.4733 Zhang, Y. et al. Near-global summer circulation response to the spring surface Temperature anomaly in Tibetan Plateau – The GEWEX/LS4P First Phase Experiment. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-024-07210-5 2023 Ardilouze, C. and A. Boone : Impact of initializing the soil with a thermally and hydrologically balanced state on subseasonal predictability. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-023-07024-x Xue, Y., I. Diallo, A. Boone,…,C. Ardilouze et al. : Remote effects of Tibetan Plateau spring land temperature on global subseasonal to seasonal precipitation prediction and comparison with effects of sea surface temperature : the GEWEX/LS4P Phase I experiment. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-023-06905-5 2022 Xue, Y., I. Diallo,A. Boone,…,C. Ardilouze et al. : Spring Land Temperature in Tibetan Plateau and Global-Scale Summer Precipitation : Initialization and Improved Prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0270.1 Domeisen, D.,…,S. Antoine,C. Ardilouze,L. Batté et al. : Advances in the subseasonal prediction of extreme events. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0221.1v Ruggieri, P., M. Benassi, S. Materia, D. Peano, C. Ardilouze, L. Batté, S. Gualdi : On the role of Eurasian autumn snow cover in dynamical seasonal predictions. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-021-06016-z 2021 Ardilouze, C.,D. Specq,L. Batté,C. Cassou : Flow dependence of wintertime subseasonal prediction skill over Europe, Weather and Climate Dynamics, doi:10.5194/wcd-2-1033-2021 Xue, Y.,T. Yao,A. Boone,…,C. Ardilouze et al. : Impact of Initialized Land Surface Temperature and Snowpack on Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction Project, Phase I (LS4P-I) : Organization and Experimental design. Geoscientific Model Development, doi:10.5194/gmd-14-4465-2021 Prodhomme C., S. Materia, C. Ardilouze, R.H. White, L. Batté, V. Guemas, G. Fragkoulidis, J. García-Serrano : Seasonal prediction of European Summer Heatwaves. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05828-3 Materia,S., C. Ardilouze, C. Prodhomme, M.G. Donat, M. Benassi, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, D. Peano, L.P. Caron, P. Ruggieri, S. Gualdi : Summer temperature response to extreme soil water conditions in the Mediterranean transitional climate regime. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05815-8 Benassi, M., G. Conti, S. Gualdi, P. Ruggieri, S. Materia, J. Garcia-Serrano, F.M. Palmeiro, L. Batté, C. Ardilouze : ENSO teleconnection to the Euro-Mediterranean late-winter : the role of extratropical Pacific modulation. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05768-y 2020 Ardilouze, C., S. Materia, L. Batté, M. Benassi, C. Prodhomme, 2020 : Precipitation response to extreme soil moisture conditions over the Mediterranean. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05519-5 Mezzina, B., J. García-Serrano, I. Bladé, F. M. Palmeiro, L. Batté, C. Ardilouze, M. Benassi, S. Gualdi , 2020 : Multi-model assessment of the late-winter extra-tropical response to El Niño and La Niña. Climate Dynamics, doi : 10.1007/s00382-020-05415-y Specq, D., L. Batté, M. Déqué, C. Ardilouze, 2020 : Multimodel forecasting of precipitation at subseasonal timescales over the southwest tropical Pacific. Earth and space science, doi:10.1029/2019EA001003 Merryfield, W. J., Baehr, J., Batté, …, C. Ardilouze et al. , 2020 : Current and emerging developments in subseasonal to decadal prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi :10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0037.1 2019 Ardilouze, C., L. Batté, B. Decharme, M.Déqué, 2019 : On the link between summer dry bias over the US Great Plains and seasonal temperature prediction skill in a dynamical forecast system. Weather and forecasting, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-19-0023.1 Ardilouze, C., L. Batté, M. Déqué, E. van Meijgaard, B. van den Hurk, 2019 : Investigating the impact of soil moisture on European summer climate in ensemble numerical experiments. Clim Dyn. doi:10.1007/s00382-018-4358-1 2018 Batté, L., C. Ardilouze, M. Déqué, 2018 : Forecasting West African heat waves at sub-seasonal and seasonal time scales. Mon. Weather Rev. doi:10.1175/MWR-D-17-0211.1 2017 Ardilouze, C., L. Batté, F. Bunzel, D. Decremer, M. Déqué, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, H. Douville, D. Fereday, V. Guemas, C. MacLachlan, W. Müller, C. Prodhomme, 2017 : Multi-model assessment of the impact of soil moisture initialization on mid-latitude summer predictability. Clim Dyn. doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3555-7 Ardilouze, C., L. Batté, M. Déqué, 2017 : Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) forecasts with CNRM-CM : a case study on the July 2015 West-European heat wave. Adv. Sci. Res., 14, 115-121, doi:10.5194/asr-14-115-2017, 2017 Vitart, F., C. Ardilouze, A. Bonet, A. Brookshaw, M. Chen, C. Codorean, M. Déqué, L. Ferranti, E. Fucile, M. Fuentes, H. Hendon, J. Hodgson, H. Kang, A. Kumar, H. Lin, G. Liu, X. Liu, P. Malguzzi, I. Mallas, M. Manoussakis, D. Mastrangelo, C. MacLachlan, P. McLean, A. Minami, R. Mladek, T. Nakazawa, S. Najm, Y. Nie, M. Rixen, A. Robertson, P. Ruti, C. Sun, Y. Takaya, M. Tolstykh, F. Venuti, D. Waliser, S. Woolnough, T. Wu, D. Won, H. Xiao, R. Zaripov, and L. Zhang, 2017 : The Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction (S2S) Project Database. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0017.1. 2016 Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E.,A. Barthélemy, M. Chevallier, R. Cullather, N. Fučkar, F. Massonnet, P. Posey, W. Wang, J. Zhang, C. Ardilouze, C. M. Bitz, G. Vernieres, A. Wallcraft, M. Wang, 2016 : Multi-model seasonal forecast of Arctic sea-ice : forecast uncertainty at pan-Arctic and regional scales. Clim Dyn. doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3388-9
French LEFE-INSU ICHEPS (2020-2022) : PI LEFE-INSU SOAP (2025-2027) : PI European FP7 SPECS (2012-2017) ERA4CS MEDSCOPE (2017-2021) COPERNICUS C3S2_370 : Operational seasonal forecasts H2020 CONFESS (2020-2024) : PI CNRM Horizon Europe CERISE (2023-2026) COST Action MEDUSSE (2024-2028) International WWRP-WCRP S2S (2014-2023) : CNRM contact point, Data provider, Technical committee WCRP GEWEX LS4P (2019- ongoing)
