Professional experience 2018- present : Research Scientist in the Regional Climate Team, CNRM 2004-2017 : Weather forecaster at the National Weather Forecasting Center, Météo-France, Toulouse Academic education 2020-2023 : PhD-thesis in climate sciences – Météo-France/CNRM and Institut National Polytechnique, Toulouse, France Title : “Sensibilité climatique des systèmes précipitants intenses : approche par la modélisation climatique à très haute résolution sur le nord-ouest de la Méditerranée” – Supervisors : Samuel Somot and Hervé Douville (CNRM) 2001-2004 : Master of engineering degree at Ecole Nationale de la Météorologie, Météo-France, Toulouse (Rank : 1st)
High-resolution kilometer-scale regional climate modeling Extreme precipitation events – Mediterranean Heavy Precipitation Events Tracking of convective cells
Supervision Post-doctorants Shan Li (Evolution of subdaily extremes with a 100-year return period, DGPR, 2025-present) Research engineers Aurore Darragon (TRACCS LOCALISING, 2026-present) Tiago Machado (MOPGA KmIMPACTS, 2023-2024 PhD students Edith Cortes-Hernandez (2022-2024) : “Impacts du changement climatique sur les précipitations en Corse projetés par des modèles régionaux de climat permettant la convection”, co-supervision : Philippe Lucas-Picher and Erwan Brisson Amarys Casnin (2023-present) : “Simulation haute-résolution du climat des Îles du Vent (Polynésie Française) : processus physiques, variabilité et changement climatiques”, co-supervision : Gilles Bellon, Marania Hopuare-Klouman, Victoire Laurent and Sophie Martinoni-Lapierre Lilian Noirot (2024-present) : “Changements futurs de précipitations extrêmes en Europe : analyse des mécanismes de la circulation atmosphérique aux échelles locales”, co-supervision : Margot Bador and Julien Boé Zoé Pelletier (2025-present) : “Prévision des conditions à risque de tornade”, co-supervision : François Bouttier Master students Juliette Bonnet (2026) : “Évaluation du diagnostic et du potentiel de grêle dans les simulations du modèle de climat à échelle kilométrique CNRM-AROME sur la France”, co-supervision : Clotilde Augros Mathis Chevé (2025) : “Étude des tendances des événements de précipitations extrêmes sur la France dans le modèle régional de climat à résolution kilométrique CNRM-AROME”, co-supervision : Elizabeth Harader-Coustau Lou Florian El Bachir (2021) : “Analyse de l’impact de l’humidité du sol sur l’ocurrence des pluies extrêmes”, co-supervision : Erwan Brisson Diego Monteiro (2020) : “Evaluation et exploitation de simulations climatiques à haute résolution en régions de montagne”, co-supervision : Samuel Morin Chloé Balducci (2020) : “Analyse de la récurrence des pluies extrêmes aux échelles climatiques” , co-supervision : Erwan Brisson and Philippe Lucas-Picher
In progress Decoopman, N., Blanchet, J., Blanc, A., and Caillaud, C.: Climatology and trends of extreme precipitation in France: evaluation of an explicit-convection regional climate model, EGUsphere [preprint], https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1202, 2026 Corneille, L., Lemonsu, A., Viguie, V., Caillaud, C. and Harader-Coustau, E.: Influence of historical urban expansion on the regional climate: a case study in the Paris region with CNRM-AROME. [preprint], Available at SSRN: http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.6383778 Quenum, GMLD., Lemonsu, A., Corneille, L., Harader-Coustau, E., Caillaud, C., Somot, S., Monteiro, D., Machado, T., Li, S., Chevé, M. and Richard, Y.: Automatic mapping of urban heat island and population exposure based on high-resolution climate simulations: Application to French cities. [preprint], Available at SSRN: http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.6469746 2025 Poncet, N., Tramblay, Y., Lucas-Picher, P., Thirel, G., & Caillaud, C. (2025). Projections of extreme rainfall and floods in Mediterranean basins from an ensemble of convection-permitting models. Climatic Change, 178(8), 141.https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-025-03983-8 Michau, Y., Lemonsu, A., Lucas-Picher, P., Bastin, S., Caillaud, C., de Vries, H., … & Coppola, E. (2025). Projected evolution of the Urban climate and heatwaves using an ensemble of convection-permitting regional climate models. Climatic Change, 178(8), 154. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-025-03990-9 Bador, M., Boé, J., Caillaud, C. et al. Cooler than observed sea surface could have reduced impacts of storm Alex and induced mediterranean heavy precipitation event in France. Clim Dyn 63, 460 (2025). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-025-07954-8 2024 Caillaud, C., Somot, S., Douville, H., Alias, A., Bastin, S., Brienen, S., … & de Vries, H. (2024). Northwestern Mediterranean heavy precipitation events in a warmer climate: Robust versus uncertain changes with a large convection‐permitting model ensemble. Geophysical Research Letters, 51(6), e2023GL105143. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105143 Cortés-Hernández, V. E., Caillaud, C., Bellon, G., Brisson, E., Alias, A., & Lucas-Picher, P. (2024). Evaluation of the convection permitting regional climate model CNRM-AROME on the orographically complex island of Corsica. Climate Dynamics, 62(6), 4673-4696. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07232-z Monteiro, D., Caillaud, C., Lafaysse, M., Napoly, A., Fructus, M., Alias, A., & Morin, S. (2024). Improvements in the land surface configuration to better simulate seasonal snow cover in the European Alps with the CNRM-AROME (cycle 46) convection-permitting regional climate model. Geoscientific Model Development, 17(21), 7645-7677. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7645-2024 Müller, S. K., Pichelli, E., Coppola, E., Berthou, S., Brienen, S., Caillaud, C., … & de Vries, H. (2024). The climate change response of alpine-mediterranean heavy precipitation events. Climate Dynamics, 62(1), 165-186. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06901-9 Ha T-M., Bastin S., Drobinski P., Fita L., Polcher J., Bock O., Chiriaco M., Belušić D., Caillaud C., Dobler A., Fernandez J., … & Wulfmeyer V. (2024). Precipitation frequency in Med-CORDEX and EURO-CORDEX ensembles from 0.44° to convection-permitting resolution: impact of model resolution and convection representation. Climate dynamics, 62(6), 4515-4540. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06594-6 PMM Soares, JAM Careto, Rita M Cardoso, K Goergen, E Katragkou, S Sobolowski, E Coppola, N Ban, D Belušić, S Berthou, C Caillaud, … & K Warrach-Sagi (2024). The added value of km-scale simulations to describe temperature over complex orography: the CORDEX FPS-Convection multi-model ensemble runs over the Alps. Climate Dynamics, 62(6), 4491-4514. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-022-06593-7 Lucas-Picher, P., Brisson, E., Caillaud, C., Alias A., Nabat, P., Lemonsu, A., Poncet, N., … & Somot, S. (2024). Evaluation of the convection-permitting regional climate model CNRM-AROME41t1 over Northwestern Europe. Climate Dynamics, 62(6), 4587-4615. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06637-y Fosser G., Gaetani M., Kendon E.J., Adinolfi M., Ban N., Belušić D., Caillaud C., Cardoso R.M., Coppola E., Demory M.-E., de Vries H., Dobler A., Feldmann H., Goergen K., Lenderink G., Panitz H.-J., Schär C., Soares P.M.M., Somot S., Tölle M.H. (2024). Convection-permitting climate models offer more certain extreme rainfall projections. NPJ Climate and atmospheric science, 7(1), 51. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00600-w Michau, Y., Lemonsu, A., Lucas-Picher, P., Schneider, M., & Caillaud, C. (2024). On the future evolution of heatwaves in French cities and associated rural areas: Insights from a convection-permitting model. Urban Climate, 55, 101920. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.uclim.2024.101920 Molina, M. O., Careto, J. M., Gutiérrez, C., Sánchez, E., Goergen, K., Sobolowski, S., Coppola, E., Pichelli, E., Ban, N., Short, C. Caillaud, C. … & Soares, P. M. M. (2024). The added value of simulated near-surface wind speed over the Alps from a km-scale multimodel ensemble. Climate dynamics, 62(6), 4697-4715. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07257-4 Massano, L. T., Fosser, G., Gaetani, M., & Caillaud, C. (2024). Using a convection-permitting climate model to assess wine grape productivity: two case studies in Italy. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 24(12), 4293-4315. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-4293-2024 2023 Caillaud, C. (2023) Sensibilité climatique des systèmes précipitants intenses : approche par la modélisation climatique à très haute résolution sur le nord-ouest de la Méditerranée [Phdthesis, Institut National Polytechnique de Toulouse-INPT] https://theses.hal.science/tel-04449346 (2023 Léopold Escande INPT award) Müller, S. K., Caillaud, C., Chan, S., de Vries, H., Bastin, S., Berthou, S., … & Warrach-Sagi, K. (2023). Evaluation of Alpine-Mediterranean precipitation events in convection-permitting regional climate models using a set of tracking algorithms. Climate Dynamics, 61(1), 939-957. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06555-z Lemonsu, A., Caillaud, C., Alias, A., Riette, S., Seity, Y., Le Roy, B., … & Lucas-Picher, P. (2023). What added value of CNRM-AROME convection-permitting regional climate model compared to CNRM-ALADIN regional climate model for urban climate studies? Evaluation over Paris area (France). Climate Dynamics, 61(3), 1643-1661. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06647-w Michau, Y., Lemonsu, A., Lucas-Picher, P., & Caillaud, C. (2023). Evaluation of the Urban Heat Island of 12 cities of France in a high-resolution regional climate model simulation. Urban Climate, 47, 101386. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.uclim.2022.101386 2022 Monteiro, D., Caillaud, C., Samacoïts, R., Lafaysse, M., & Morin, S. (2022). Potential and limitations of convection-permitting CNRM-AROME climate modelling in the French Alps. International Journal of Climatology, 42(14), 7162-7185. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7637 Berthou, S., Roberts, M. J., Vannière, B., Ban, N., Belušić, D., Caillaud, C., … & Manning, C. (2022). Convection in future winter storms over Northern Europe. Environmental Research Letters, 17(11), 114055. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aca03a 2021 Caillaud, C., Somot, S., Alias, A., Bernard-Bouissières, I., Fumière, Q., Laurantin, O., Seity, Y., Ducrocq, V. (2021) Modelling Mediterranean heavy precipitation events at climate scale: an object-oriented evaluation of the CNRM-AROME convection-permitting regional climate model. Clim Dyn 56, 1717–1752. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05558-y Ban, N., Caillaud, C., Coppola, E., Pichelli,E., Sobolowski, S., Adinoli, M., … & Zander, M. (2021) The first multi-model ensemble of regional climate simulations at kilometer-scale resolution, Part I: Evaluation of precipitation. Clim Dyn https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05708-w Pichelli, E., Coppola, E., Sobolowski, S., Ban, N., Giorgi, F., Stocchi P., Alias A., Belusic, D., Berthou, S., Caillaud, C., M. Cardoso, R., Chan, S., … & Vergara-Temprado, J. (2021) The first multi-model ensemble of regional climate simulations at kilometer-scale resolution part 2: historical and future simulations of precipitation. Clim Dyn. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05657-4 Lucas‐Picher, P., Argüeso, D., Brisson, E., Tramblay, Y., Berg, P., Lemonsu, A., Kotlarski, S., Caillaud, C. (2021). Convection‐permitting modeling with regional climate models: Latest developments and next steps. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 12(6), e731. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.731 2020 Fumière, Q., Déqué, M., Nuissier, O., Somot, S., Alias, A., Caillaud, C., Laurantin, O., Seity, Y. (2020) Extreme rainfall in Mediterranean France during the fall: added value of the CNRM-AROME convection-permitting regional climate model. Clim Dyn 55, 77–91. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04898-8
International projects CORDEX Task Force on Convection-Permitting Models (2025-2026) CORDEX-Flagship Pilot Study on Convection, led by Stefan Sobolowski (NORCE) and Erika Coppola (ICTP) (2016-2022) HyMeX : Study of the Mediterranean hydrological cycle and related extreme events (2010-2020) European projects European Project Horizon Europe Impetus4Change (I4C) (Improving near-term climate predictions for societal transformation https://impetus4change.eu/) (2022-2026) led by NORCE European Project H2020 EUCP (European Climate Prediction System project https://www.eucp-project.eu/ ) (2017-2022) lead by Met Office National projects Lead scientist for the action program on the evolution of sub-daily rainfall with a 100-year return period in France, under a grant agreement between the DGPR, the CNRS and Météo-France (2025-2027) Research Program France 2030 PEPR-Climat TRACCS (Transforming climate modelling for climate services) (2023-2030) led by CNRS and Météo-France, LOCALISINGCore Project 2C-MORE (Climate change impacts on offshore wind) (2025-2028) led by par France Énergies Marines and Réseau de Transport d’Électricité Météo-France SOCLE Métropole project (developing a common framework for climate projections and synthesize various sources of information for climate services) (2024-2026) Météo-France AROBASE project (Development of a high-resolution, multi-coupled modeling system for the atmosphere, ocean, waves, and land surfaces based on AROME) (2022-2026)
2025: “Regional Climate Modeling” (ImpactHydro 2025 Summer School, Banyuls-sur-Mer) Since 2022: Training course: “How to Run Climate Simulations Using the CNRM-AROME Model” (internal training for new users of the CNRM-AROME model) Since 2022: “Fundamentals of Atmospheric Physics and Meteorological Phenomena” (Meteorology for ENEDIS, EDF or RTE, Météo-France) Since 2021: Practical course on “Regional Climate Modelling” (Engineer students at Ecole Nationale de la Météorologie, Toulouse) Since 2014: “Operational Numerical Weather Models at Météo-France” (Météo-France workshop)
