Dernière mise à jour : 24/11/2025.
– Soumis / en révision
* Savary, O., C. Ardilouze and J. Cattiaux, Linking European droughts to year-round weather regimes, Weather and Climate Dynamics, in revision.
* P. Pfleiderer, A. Merrifield, I. Dunkl, H. Durand, E. Cariou, J. Cattiaux, and S. Sippel, The contribution of circulation changes to summer temperature trends in the northern hemisphere mid-latitudes : A multi-method quantification, Weather and Climate Dynamics, in revision.
– 2025
54. Qasmi, S., A. Ribes, J. Cattiaux, O. Barbaux, Y. Robin and W. Dulac (2025), An automatic procedure for the attribution of climate extremes events at the global scale, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, in press.
53. Cariou, E., J. Cattiaux, S. Qasmi, A. Ribes, C. Cassou and A. Doury (2025), Linking European temperature variations to atmospheric circulation with a neural network: a pilot study in a climate model, Geophysical Research Letters, 52 (9), e2024GL113540. doi: 10.1029/2024GL113540
52. Ribes, A., Y. Robin, Tessiot, O. and J. Cattiaux (2025), Recent extreme cold waves are likely not to happen again this century, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, in press. doi :10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0013.1
– 2024
51. Cattiaux, J., A. Ribes and E. Cariou (2024), How extreme were daily global temperatures of 2023 and early 2024 ?, Geophysical Research Letters, in press. doi :10.1029/2024GL110531
50. D’Andrea, F., et al. (2024), Summer Deep Depressions Increase Over the North Atlantic, Geophysical Research Letters, in press. doi :10.1029/2023GL104435
– 2023
49. Cattiaux, J., A. Ribes and V. Thompson (2023), Searching for the most extreme temperature extremes in recent history, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, in press. doi :10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0095.1
48. Vautard, R., J. Cattiaux, T. Happé, J. Singh, et al. (2023), Heat extremes in Western Europe increasing faster than simulated due to atmospheric circulation trends, Nature Communications, 14, 6803. doi :10.1038/s41467-023-42143-3
47. Dulac, W., J. Cattiaux, F. Chauvin, S. Bourdin and S. Fromang (2023), Assessing the representation of tropical cyclones in ERA5 with the CNRM tracker, Climate Dynamics, 62, 223–238. doi :10.1007/s00382-023-06902-8
46. Colin, J., B. Decharme, J. Cattiaux and D. Saint-Martin (2023), Potential groundwater-climate feedbacks in a changing climate, Journal of Climate, 36, 7599—7617. doi :10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0767.1
– 2022
45. Bourdin, S., S. Fromang, W. Dulac, J. Cattiaux and F. Chauvin (2022), Intercomparison of Four Tropical Cyclones Detection Algorithms on ERA5, Geoscientific Model Development, in press. doi :10.5194/egusphere-2022-179
– 2021
44. Barthe, C. et al. (2021), Impact of tropical cyclones on inhabited areas of the SWIO basin at present and future horizons. Part 2 : Modelling component of the research program ReNovRisk-Cyclone, Atmosphere, 12(6), 689. doi :10.3390/atmos12060689
43. Bousquet, O. et al. (2021), Impact of tropical cyclones on inhabited areas of the SWIO basin at present and future horizons. Part 1 : Overview and observing component of the research project ReNovRisk-Cyclone, Atmosphere, 12(5), 544. doi :10.3390/atmos12050544
42. Tulet, P. et al. (2021), ReNovRisk : a multidisciplinary programme to study the cyclonic risks in the South-West Indian Ocean, Natural Hazards, 107(2), 1191—1223. doi :10.1007/s11069-021-04624-w
41. Saint-Martin, D., O. Geoffroy, A. Voldoire, J. Cattiaux et al. (2020), Tracking changes in climate sensitivity in CNRM climate models, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 13(6), e2020MS002190. doi :10.1029/2020MS002190
– 2020
40. Ribes, A., S. Thao and J. Cattiaux (2020), Describing the relationship between a weather event and climate change : a new statistical approach, Journal of Climate, 33(15), 6297—6314. doi :10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0217.1
39. Roehrig, R. et al. (2020), The CNRM global atmosphere model ARPEGE-Climat 6.3 : description and evaluation, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12(7), e2020MS002075. doi :10.1029/2020MS002075
38. Cattiaux, J., F. Chauvin, O. Bousquet, S. Malardel and C.-L. Tsai (2020), Projected changes in the Southern Indian Ocean cyclone activity assessed from high-resolution experiments and CMIP5 models, Journal of Climate, 33(12), 4975—4991. doi :10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0591.1
37. Oudar, T., J. Cattiaux and H. Douville (2020), Drivers of the northern extratropical eddy-driven jet change in CMIP5 and CMIP6 models, Geophysical Research Letters, 47(8), e2019GL086695. doi :10.1029/2019GL086695
36. Oudar, T., J. Cattiaux, H. Douville, O. Geoffroy, D. Saint-Martin and R. Roehrig (2020), Robustness and drivers of the Northern Hemisphere extratropical atmospheric circulation response to a CO2-induced warming in CNRM-CM6-1, Climate Dynamics, 54(3), 2267—2285. doi :10.1007/s00382-019-05113-4
35. Yiou, P., J. Cattiaux, D. Faranda, N. Kadygrov, A. Jezequel, P. Naveau, A. Ribes, Y. Robin, S. Thao, G. J. van Oldenborgh and M. Vrac (2020),
Analyses of the European summer heatwave of 2018, « Explaining Extreme Events of 2018 from a Climate Perspective », Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101(1), S35—S40. doi :10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0170.1
34. Gainusa-Bogdan, A., D. Swingedouw, P. Yiou, J. Cattiaux, F. Codron and S. Michel (2020), AMOC and summer sea ice as key drivers of the spread in Mid-Holocene winter temperature patterns over Europe in PMIP3 models, Global and Planetary Change, 184, 103055. doi :10.1016/j.gloplacha.2019.103055
– 2019
33. Peings, Y., J. Cattiaux and G. Magnusdottir (2019), The polar stratosphere as an arbiter of the projected tropical versus polar tug-of-war, Geophysical Research Letters, 46(15), 9261—9270. doi :10.1029/2019GL082463
32. Saint-Martin, D., O. Geoffroy, L. Watson, H. Douville, G. Bellon, A. Voldoire, J. Cattiaux, B. Decharme and A. Ribes (2019), Fast forward to perturbed equilibrium climate, Geophysical Research Letters, 46(15), 8969—8975. doi :10.1029/2019GL083031
31. Voldoire, A. et al. (2019), Evaluation of CMIP6 DECK experiments with CNRM-CM6-1, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 11(7), 2177—2213. doi :10.1029/2019MS001683
– 2018
30. Peings, Y., J. Cattiaux, S. Vavrus and G. Magnusdottir (2018), Projected squeezing of the wintertime North-Atlantic jet, Environmental Research Letters, 13(7), 074016. doi :10.1088/1748-9326/aacc79
29. Jézéquel, A., J. Cattiaux, P. Naveau, S. Radanovics, A. Ribes, R. Vautard, M. Vrac and P. Yiou (2018), Trends of atmospheric circulation during singular hot days in Europe, Environmental Research Letters, 13(5), 054007. doi :10.1088/1748-9326/aab5da
28. Cattiaux, J. and A. Ribes (2018), Defining single extreme weather events in a climate perspective, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99(8), 1557—1568. doi :10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0281.1
27. Yiou, P., J. Cattiaux, A. Ribes, R. Vautard and M. Vrac (2018), Recent trends in the recurrence of North-Atlantic atmospheric circulation patterns, Complexity, vol2018, id3140915. doi :10.1155/2018/3140915
– 2017
26. Oudar, T., E. Sanchez-Gomez, F. Chauvin, J. Cattiaux, C. Cassou and L. Terray (2017), Respective effects of Arctic sea ice loss and GHGs increase on the Northern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation, Climate Dynamics, 49(11-12), 3693. doi :10.1007/s00382-017-3541-0
25. Peings, Y., J. Cattiaux, S. Vavrus and G. Magnusdottir (2017), Changes in the mid-latitude atmospheric circulation in the CESM Large Ensemble, Journal of Climate, 30(11), 5943—5960. doi :10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0340.1
24. Vavrus, S., F. Wang, J. Martin, J. Francis, Y. Peings and J. Cattiaux (2017), Changes in North American Atmospheric Circulation and Extreme Weather, Journal of Climate, 30(11), 4317—4333. doi :10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0762.1
– 2016
23. Cattiaux, J., Y. Peings, D. Saint-Martin, N. Trou-Kechout and S.J. Vavrus (2016), Sinuosity of mid-latitude atmospheric flow in a warming world, Geophysical Research Letters, 43(15), 8259—8268. doi :10.1002/2016GL070309
22. Bessac, J., P. Ailliot, J. Cattiaux and V. Monbet (2016), Comparison of hidden and observed regime-switching autoregressive models for (u,v)-components of wind fields in the Northeast Atlantic, Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography, 2(1), 1—16. doi :10.5194/ascmo-2-1-2016
21. Cassou, C. and J. Cattiaux (2016), Disruption of the European climate seasonal clock in a warming world, Nature Climate Change, 6(6), 589—594. doi :10.1038/nclimate2969
20. Lucas-Picher, P., J. Cattiaux, A. Bougie and R. Laprise (2016), How does large‑scale nudging in a regional climate model contribute to improving the simulation of weather regimes and seasonal extremes over North America ?, Climate Dynamics, 46(3), 929—948. doi :10.1007/s00382-015-2623-0
– 2015
19. Douville, H., J. Colin, E. Krug, J. Cattiaux and S. Thao (2015), Mid-latitude daily summer temperatures reshaped by soil moisture under climate change, Geophysical Research Letters, 43(2), 812—818. doi :10.1002/2015GL066222
18. Cattiaux, J., H. Douville, R. Schoetter, S. Parey and P. Yiou (2015), Projected increase in diurnal and inter-diurnal variations of European summer temperatures, Geophysical Research Letters, 42(3), 899—907. doi :10.1002/2014GL062531
17. Schoetter, R., J. Cattiaux and H. Douville (2015), Changes of western European heat wave characteristics projected by the CMIP5 ensemble, Climate Dynamics, 45(5), 1601—1616. doi :10.1007/s00382-014-2434-8
– 2014
16. Yiou, P. and J. Cattiaux (2014), Contribution of atmospheric circulation to the wet South European winter of 2013, in « Explaining Extreme Events of 2013 from a Climate Perspective », Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 95(9), S66—69. doi :10.1175/1520-0477-95.9.s1.1
– 2013
15. Yiou, P. and J. Cattiaux (2013), Contribution of atmospheric circulation to the wet North European summer of 2012, in « Explaining Extreme Events of 2012 from a Climate Perspective », Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 94(9), S39—41. doi :10.1175/bams-d-13-00085.1
14. Cattiaux, J., and P. Yiou (2013), The U.S. heatwaves of spring-summer 2012 from the flow-analogue perspective, in « Explaining Extreme Events of 2012 from a Climate Perspective », Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 94(9), S10—13. doi :10.1175/bams-d-13-00085.1
13. Cattiaux, J., and C. Cassou (2013), Opposite CMIP3/5 trends in the Northern Annular Mode explained by combined local sea-ice and remote tropical influences, Geophysical Research Letters, 40(14), 3682—3687. doi :10.1002/grl.50643
12. Cattiaux, J., H. Douville, and Y. Peings (2013), European temperatures in CMIP5 : origins of present-day biases and future uncertainties, Climate Dynamics, 41(11-12), 2889—2907. doi :10.1007/s00382-013-1731-y
11. Peings, Y., J. Cattiaux and H. Douville (2013), Evaluation and response of cold spells over Western Europe in CMIP5 models, Climate Dynamics, 41(11-12), 3025—3037. doi :10.1007/s00382-012-1565-z
10. Vautard, R., T. Noel, L. Li, M. Vrac, E. Martin, P. Dandin, J. Cattiaux and S. Joussaume (2013), Climate variability and trends in downscaled high-resolution simulations and projections over Metropolitan France, Climate Dynamics, 41(5-6), 1419—1437. doi :10.1007/s00382-012-1621-8
9. Cattiaux, J., B. Quesada, A. Arakélian, F. Codron, R. Vautard, and P. Yiou (2013), North-Atlantic dynamics and European temperature extremes in the IPSL model : sensitivity to atmospheric resolution, Climate Dynamics, 40(9-10), 2293—2310. doi :10.1007/s00382-012-1529-3
8. Cattiaux, J., H. Douville, A. Ribes, F. Chauvin, and C. Plante (2013), Towards a better understanding of changes in wintertime cold extremes over Europe : A pilot study with CNRM-CM5 and IPSL-CM5 atmospheric models, Climate Dynamics, 40(9-10), 2433—2445. doi :10.1007/s00382-012-1436-7
– 2012
7. Cattiaux, J., P. Yiou, and R. Vautard (2012), Dynamics of future seasonal temperature trends and extremes in Europe : a multi-model analysis from CMIP3, Climate Dynamics, 38(9—10), 1949—1964. doi :10.1007/s00382-011-1211-1
6. Cattiaux, J., and P. Yiou (2012), Contribution of atmospheric circulation to remarkable European temperatures of 2011, in « Explaining Extreme Events of 2011 from a Climate Perspective », Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 93, 1041—1067. doi :10.1175/BAMSD-12-00021.1
– 2011
5. Ouzeau, G., J. Cattiaux, H. Douville, A. Ribes, and D. Saint-Martin (2011), European cold winter 2009-2010 : How unusual in the instrumental record and how reproducible in the Arpege-Climat model ?, Geophysical Research Letters, 38, L11706. doi :10.1029/2011GL047667
4. Cattiaux, J., R. Vautard, and P. Yiou (2011), North-Atlantic SST amplified recent wintertime European land temperature extremes and trends, Climate Dynamics, 36(11—12), 2113—2128. doi :10.1007/s00382-010-0869-0
– 2010
3. Cattiaux, J., R. Vautard, C. Cassou, P. Yiou, V. Masson-Delmotte, and F. Codron (2010), Winter 2010 in Europe : A cold extreme in a warming climate, Geophysical Research Letters, 37, L20704. doi :10.1029/2010GL044613
2. Vautard, R., J. Cattiaux, P. Yiou, J.N. Thépaut, and P. Ciais (2010), Northern Hemisphere atmospheric stilling partly attributed to an increase in surface roughness, Nature Geoscience, 3, 756—761. doi :10.1038/NGEO979
– 2009
1. Cattiaux, J., R. Vautard, and P. Yiou (2009), Origins of the extremely warm European fall of 2006, Geophysical Research Letters, 36(6), L06713. doi :10.1029/2009GL037339
– Articles de vulgarisation / participations à des ouvrages
8. Petit Illustré Climat – Regards croisé de chercheurs (2025), co-édité par le CNRS et la Dépêche du midi.
7. Torre-Schaub, M., et al. (2022), Dictionnaire juridique du changement climatique, eds. Mare et Martin, 584 pp. ISBN : 978-2-84934-624-2.
6. Charbit, S., N. Bouttes, A. Quiquet, L. Bopp, G. Ramstein, J.-L. Dufresne and J. Cattiaux (2020), From the climates of the past to the climates of the future, in Paleoclimatology by G. Ramstein et al., eds. Springer, 478 pp. doi :10.1007/978-3-030-24982-3_31
5. Cattiaux, J., F. Chauvin, H. Douville and A. Ribes (2018), Événements météorologiques extrêmes et changement climatique, Encyclopédie de l’Environnement.
4. Cattiaux, J., F. Chauvin, H. Douville and A. Ribes (2016), Des bulletins météo extrêmes à prévoir, La Recherche , 517.
3. Boucher, O., et al. (2015), Projection des changements climatiques futurs, La Météorologie, 88, 56—68. doi :10.4267/2042/56362
2. Planton, S., et al. (2015), Evolution du climat depuis 1850, La Météorologie, 88, 48—55. doi :10.4267/2042/56361
1. Charbit, S., J.L. Dufresne, G. Ramstein, J. Cattiaux and L. Bopp (2013), Des climats du passé aux climats du futur, Chapter 10 in Paléoclimatologie 2 : Enquête sur les climats anciens, by J.-C. Duplessy and G. Ramstein, eds. EDP Sciences, 450pp, ISBN : 978-2-7598-0741-3.
– Ma thèse
Cattiaux, J. (2010), Extrêmes de température en Europe : mécanismes et réponses au changement climatique, edited by Univ. P&M. Curie, published on TEL (mostly in French).
